Swing state Democrats in the Senate and the House will have a tough row to hoe if the polling data is correct and I am sure it is. But, it will be much rougher on Senate Democrats i9f they push through amnesty using reconciliation. If they try to dom it as a stand-alone measure, it can be filibustered but through reconciliation, they just need all fifty Democratic Senators and Kamala Harris would break the tie.
The Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR)/Zogby Analytics poll, that6 was provided to Breitbart News shows some really bad problems for swing-state Democrats including Arizona’s Mark Kelly and Kyrsten Sinema, West Virginia’s Joe Manchin, New Hampshire’s Jeanne Shaheen, Georgia’s Raphael Warnock, and Nevada’s Catherine Cortez Masto.
Sinema in Arizona
- 55 percent of voters less likely to support her
- 22 percent of voters more likely to support her
Kelly in Arizona
- 49 percent of voters less likely to support him
- 27 percent of voters more likely to support him
Warnock in Georgia
- 50 percent of voters less likely to support him
- 29 percent of voters more likely to support him
Shaheen in New Hampshire:
- 50 percent of voters less likely to support her
- 21 percent of voters more likely to support her
Cortez Masto in Nevada:
- 47 percent of voters less likely to support her
- 28 percent of voters more likely to support her
Warnock, Kelly, and Cortez Masto would be up for re-election in 2022 while Sinema and Manchin do not face re-election until 2024. Shaheen’s re-election is in 2026. Warnock and Kelly face rough roads already in trying to win reelection and Cortez Masto has just picked up a tough rival in her bid to get reelected. The Democrats’ tenuous hold on the Senate could be wiped out in 2022. Even if the bill fails those who voted for it could be defeated in their next election.
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In March, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) reported that the Democrats’ Dream and Promise Act amnesty plan would cost Americans more than $35 billion over the course of ten years.
A report by the Center for Immigration Studies (CIS) last month found that amnesty for illegal aliens would worsen the nation’s ongoing unemployment crisis where nearly 16 million Americans remain jobless — many of whom reside in these swing states.
“Allowing all illegal immigrants who came at younger ages or have TPS status to stay and giving them all legal status so they compete with legal immigrants and the native-born throughout the labor market will likely make it increasingly difficult to draw more Americans back into the labor market,” CIS researchers noted.